ponedjeljak, 28. rujna 2020.
CAT WITH 9 LIVES
'CAT WITH 9 LIVES'
Some believe the Times announcement buried Trump’s chances. We explain why this is not true
The key question is whether the workers, the main voters of the current president, will experience the tax fraud as a drop too much
By: Željko TrkanjecPublished: September 28, 2020 11:18
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Spencer Platt / AFP
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Democrats weren't wasting time: as early as Sunday night, stickers could be bought that read "I paid more taxes than Donald Trump." Fast and very efficient.
Donald Trump has survived various scandals, scandals, attacks (justified and those who were not) during his four years in the White House, but the data published by The New York Times on Sunday on non-payment of taxes is one of the absolutely hardest blows. Yes, I will also use an old, worn-out argument: Al Capone ended up in prison for tax evasion. No one likes to pay taxes, but in the US it is still seen as an obligation, a civic duty, not to descend on the Christian “God of God, Emperor of the Emperors”. There is a Protestant ethic in this that is embedded in the foundations of the idea of America as a "land of the free," which has power "from nation to nation." And that nation pays taxes and no one is above that.
Every American president since the 1970s has published his tax return. Except for Donald Trump. That story drags on throughout his tenure, and he defended himself as he can’t do it because his tax returns are under audit.
Trump profited from the position
The New York Times came into possession of the documents. And he published them, as executive editor Dean Baquet wrote , because "we believe that citizens should understand as much as possible about their leaders and representatives - their priorities, their experiences and also their finances." And a particularly important sentence: "Tradition dictates that an official who can shake up markets and change policies must not seek financial gain from his actions." And the data presented by the Times confirms that Trump has profited greatly from his presidential position. It was written about during the campaign and the mandate, but it always somehow fell into the background because of all the other scandals and scandals.
Tuesday is the first confrontation between Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden . This announcement is very likely and planned to throw Trump into a defensive position before that clash. And gave Biden a tactical advantage. One Republican strategist told the AP: "If the campaign is about Trump, then he is losing." And that's why Trump's team put a lot of energy into putting Biden in the foreground. That is why, finally, agreements between Israel and the UAE were hastily signed and a show was organized with the leaders of Serbia and Kosovo. And the circus with TikTok is fabricated. And the election of a judge for the Supreme Court came unexpectedly, but as another element that will act homogeneously on the electorate.
RELATED NEWS
(FILES) In this file combination of pictures created on September 25, 2020 shows Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden speaks September 23, 2020 at the Black Economic Summit at Camp North End in Charlotte, North Carolina and US President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally September 24, 2020 at Cecil Airport in Jacksonville, Florida. - With just over a month before the US presidential election, Donald Trump and Joe Biden are set to take the debate stage Tuesday September 29, the first show pitting the rivals against each other that & amp; # 39; s sure to have millions of Americans glued to their screens. (Photos by JIM WATSON and Brendan Smialowski / AFP)
THREE ARE PROVIDED
Trump and Biden's first confrontation: 'It will be mostly personal attacks and lies because he only knows that'
EXPLOSIVE DISCOVERY
New York Times: Trump’s business is accumulating losses, and he hasn’t paid income tax in 10 years
The Times's publication completely removes what little gilding is left on the story of Trump as a very successful entrepreneur, businessman. Namely, in recent polls, the issue of economic management has remained the only area in which the electorate trusts Trump more than Biden. And how do you trust a president who doesn’t pay taxes and his business is falling apart? The AP believes that the Times' announcement could be a crucial moment that will turn even Trump's most loyal voters, workers (blue collar, those with blue collars) from Pennsylvania, Michigan and the federal states that brought him victory in 2016.
Polarized earth
Despite all this, one should not rush to conclusions. According to opinion polls, a very small percentage of American voters are undecided. The country is strongly divided, ideological opposites are strong, and there are paradoxical situations: Hispanics, whose compatriots Trump wants to stop with a wall at the border, still support Trump in a relatively large percentage. Because he tightened his policy towards Cuba, and Biden was part of Obama’s team that opened the door to that country. And especially in Florida, which once, in 2000, decided the winner of the American elections.
Trump has so far shown he has more than nine lives. And whenever Democrats turned on him strongly, as in the case of the election of Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court in 2018, he ultimately profited: the judge was elected, and some undecided voters turned to Republicans for what they saw as violent attacks to the President. Which was partly true. Polls over the summer of 2018 projected that Democrats could win the Senate. They are not. The Kavanaugh case certainly played a part in that.
Trump has an extremely stable and loyal electorate. Despite the AP's allegations, they see attacks on "their president" as an incentive to stand behind him even more strongly. Like Republican MPs in Congress, especially in the Senate.
These elections will be decided by unknown strangers. Random variables. How will the attacks by Democratic senators on the process of appointing Judge Amy Barrett resonate in public, how will Biden deal with Trump in confrontations, will Democratic voters rely too much on correspondence to give Trump a chance to declare victory on election night number of electors. The tax return is just one of those variables in the huge equation with a sea of unknowns. An important variable, but still limited in scope.
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